National Weather Service Issues Tropical Weather Outlooks for Northern Gulf of Mexico, Central Tropical Atlantic, and Eastern Tropical Atlantic

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Published June 27, 2022

National Weather Service Issues Tropical Weather Outlooks for Northern Gulf of Mexico, Central Tropical Atlantic, and Eastern Tropical Atlantic

On the morning of June 27, 2022, the National Weather Service issued Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Northern Gulf of Mexico, Central Tropical Atlantic, and Eastern Tropical Atlantic. At the time this was published, these systems did not pose a threat to Southwest Louisiana.

For the Northern Gulf of Mexico, the National Weather Service indicated that disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the north-central and northeastern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph toward the northwestern Gulf of Mexico and approaches the coasts of southern Texas and northeastern Mexico during the next few days.
NWS indicated that the formation chance through Wednesday, June 29, 2022, is low, at 10 percent.
NWS indicated that the formation chance through July 1, 2022, is low, around 20 percent.

For the Central Tropical Atlantic, the National Weather Service indicated that shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with a tropical wave located about 950 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days before the system reaches the Windward Islands Tuesday night or possibly while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea Wednesday through Friday. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon. Interests in the Windward Islands and along the northeastern coast of Venezuela should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions of these areas later today. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over the Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela Tuesday night and Wednesday.
NWS indicated that the formation chance through Wednesday, June 29, 2022, is high, at 70 percent.
NWS indicated that the formation chance through July 1, 2022, is high, at 90 percent.

For the Eastern Tropical Atlantic, the National Weather Service indicated that a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could become conducive for gradual development later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
NWS indicated that the formation chance through Wednesday, June 29, 2022, is low, near 0 percent.
NWS indicated that the formation chance through July 1, 2022, is low, at 20 percent.

Follow this link to view the Tropical Weather Outlook with Atlantic and Gulf Coast Satellite Views.