Louisiana – As the Atlantic hurricane season reaches its climatological peak on September 10, four areas of disturbed weather are being closely monitored for possible tropical development over the next week. Fortunately, the chances of these systems strengthening into tropical storms or hurricanes are low.
One tropical wave is currently moving across the Caribbean Sea, producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has given this system a 30% chance of formation through the next 7 days. While the wave is not well-organized, it bears watching as it could potentially bring heavy rain and strong winds to the Caribbean islands and the southeastern United States.
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of North Carolina is also being monitored. This system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next few days. However, the NHC does not expect it to strengthen into a tropical storm.
Two other tropical waves, one over the Atlantic and another over the far eastern Atlantic, are also being tracked. The wave over the Atlantic has a 10% chance of formation through the next 48 hours and a 10% chance through the next 7 days. The wave over the far eastern Atlantic has a 10% chance of formation over the next 48 hours and a 20% chance of formation through the next 7 days.
While the chances of these systems developing into tropical storms are low, it’s essential for residents in the southern United States to remain vigilant and monitor the latest forecasts and advisories from the NHC.